Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 3.144399 3.317386 3.500513 3.709807 3.943645 4.198368 4.498908
2025-08-17 2.768129 2.994730 3.246534 3.550389 3.911787 4.334216 4.875401
2025-08-24 2.526244 2.785091 3.083623 3.459883 3.931570 4.518655 5.332375
2025-08-31 2.368273 2.651982 2.989578 3.431519 4.012693 4.780917 5.935227
2025-09-07 2.221171 2.516272 2.875798 3.360506 4.022937 4.944134 6.432516
2025-09-14 2.095323 2.395431 2.767964 3.282364 4.008389 5.063592 6.886565
2025-09-21 1.986167 2.287225 2.666614 3.200866 3.975621 5.145747 7.295376
2025-09-28 1.924486 2.234744 2.632593 3.205925 4.064954 5.426108 8.138621
2025-10-05 1.919764 2.254486 2.694027 3.348202 4.375666 6.126467 10.118351
2025-10-12 1.878366 2.222584 2.681935 3.381063 4.516874 6.561483 11.778027
2025-10-19 1.837914 2.189272 2.664926 3.403703 4.642296 6.994158 13.761082
2025-10-26 1.814687 2.177721 2.677162 3.471091 4.852305 7.653381 17.173618
2025-11-02 1.751967 2.113360 2.616195 3.428858 4.881471 7.979867 20.156589
2025-11-09 1.669957 2.019442 2.508364 3.304938 4.748006 7.906383 21.371701
2025-11-16 1.607629 1.950945 2.434984 3.232799 4.706634 8.059070 24.385347
2025-11-23 1.563341 1.906057 2.394259 3.211547 4.762207 8.487517 31.054348
2025-11-30 1.512383 1.849500 2.332957 3.150621 4.729970 8.671040 37.232290
2025-12-07 1.463181 1.793592 2.269953 3.082207 4.673916 8.773041 44.082297
2025-12-14 1.416322 1.739431 2.207234 3.010117 4.601933 8.809702 51.562619
2025-12-21 1.390752 1.715159 2.189254 3.014890 4.695763 9.420003 89.852899
2025-12-28 1.394243 1.733239 2.237677 3.141679 5.083692 11.328055 NaN
2026-01-04 1.376074 1.718405 2.233082 3.170935 5.251940 12.564063 NaN
2026-01-11 1.357053 1.701496 2.224152 3.191064 5.402172 13.892685 NaN